Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000027 0.000029 0.000032 0.000034 0.000037 0.000041
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000024 0.000028 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000046
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000056 0.000070
2026-02-08 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072
2026-02-15 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000057 0.000076
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000078
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000078
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000078
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000055 0.000079
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000079
2026-03-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000054 0.000081
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000056 0.000085
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000040 0.000060 0.000093
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000048 0.000074 0.000121
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000047 0.000073 0.000121
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000122
2026-05-10 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000074 0.000127
2026-05-17 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000045 0.000073 0.000129
2026-05-24 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000043 0.000072 0.000127
2026-05-31 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000126
2026-06-07 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000025 0.000041 0.000070 0.000128